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Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for February 29, 2016 2016-02-29

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In November 2015, a bearish engulfing weekly candlestick closed below the level of 1.5200 (the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern). This enhanced the bearish side of the market in the long term.

Extensive bearish pressure has been applied against the demand levels of 1.4620 and 1.4360. Both of them were broken to the downside.

On January 21, after the GBP/USD pair moved below 1.4220, evident signs of a bullish recovery were expressed around 1.4075. Hence, previous weekly candlesticks closed above 1.4220 and 1.4360 again.

Bullish persistence above 1.4360 was mandatory to maintain enough bullish strength in the market. The first bullish target was seen at 1.4615 where the current strong bearish momentum was initiated.

As the previous weekly candlestick maintained its bearish persistence below the depicted demand zone (below 1.4200), the next weekly demand level is located at 1.3850 (a historical bottom that goes back to March 2009).

Strong bullish recovery and a possible long entry should be expected around 1.3850 (prominent weekly demand level).

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On February 4, the market failed to close above 1.4615. An inverted hammer daily candlestick was expressed. Hence, a bearish pullback took place towards 1.4360.

Note that the GBP/USD pair was trapped between 1.4615 and 1.4220 until a recent lower high was established at the level of 1.4530. This applied extensive bearish pressure against 1.4220.

Hence, an extensive bearish breakout below 1.4220 is being manifested on the daily chart (the GBP/USD pair currently looks oversold).

That's why, signs of bullish recovery and a possible long entry should be expected around anywhere around 1.3850.

On the other hand, the broken demand zone (1.4360-1.4222) now constitutes a significant supply zone to offer bearish rejection when any upcoming bullish pullback occurs.

Trading Recommendation:

Conservative traders should wait for a valid entry around the zone of 1.3850. Initial T/P levels should be located at 1.3980 and 1.4050.



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