Day chart: the pair had a raise after breaking of upper Bollinger envelope, that’s why both scenarios are equally (black/red arrows).
H4: the pair didn’t test upper Bollinger band (1.1246). And the price is expected to move downwards to middle Bollinger band (1.1006).
H1: the price is going towards 1.1258 zone, but there is a oscillator divergence, but in general I wait moving to 1.1158 and 1.1051
Expectations: touch 1.1258 area and then a downward correction to 1.1158 and 1.1051. Trading solutions: sell from 1.1258 to 1.1158 and 1.1051