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FxPro Forex Analysis: EUR volatility Ahead, ECB Rate Decision and Press Conference Levels


The ECB rate decision which is due at 12.40pm GMT and the Press Conference which is scheduled for 13.30pm GMT are probably the most anticipated market event for this trading week. No rate change is expected at this time, but the majority of the market participants will closely watch and listen for any changes in the timing of the QE program termination. The current market expectations are set for the end of the QE Program in September 2018. ECB’s Draghi will likely confirm that the Eurozone economy is performing well and that inflation is currently running below ECB’s target. Additionally, any mention of the potential timing and the ongoing pace for the future rate hikes will likely impact volatility across EUR currency crosses and possibly some European Equity markets as well.

EURGBP Daily Chart

EURGBP Daily Chart

EURGBP in the Daily timeframe is testing important downside support at 0.8700 level. A confirmed loss could open up the way for the retest of further downside supports at 0.8655, followed by 0.8580 and 0.8440. Alternatively, any oversold bounce backs from the 0.8700 support level are initially capped by the upside resistance at 0.8760, followed by 0.8800 and 0.8840 levels.


EURJPY Daily Chart

EURJPY Daily Chart

EURJPY in the Daily timeframe is up trending with the price action trading above rising 20, 50 and also 200-Day Moving Averages. This currency pair price is also trading above a rising support trendline. The initial downside support is at the 134.46 level, the price action appears bullish above. A confirmed loss of the 134.46 level could target additional downside supports at the 134.00 round number, followed by the 133.10-133.00 support zone, which is pointing to the significant January swing low. The initial upside is capped by the 136.00 resistance level. A confirmed breakout higher could target additional upside resistances at 136.60, followed by 137.50.

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