Gold prices have come off (-0.88%) as money has flowed into equities and markets are in a risk on mode. German Dax is up by 1.49% together with Eurostoxx 50 rising by 1.5%. Elsewhere, Indian CNX Nifty index is up by over 1.7% at the time of writing. The price of gold created a bearish doji candle in the weekly chart last week. In the daily time frame price has created a lower high. Both of these technical factors suggest weakness in the price of gold and increase chances of price moving lower in the coming days. Also, Stochastic oscillator (daily) is pointing lower.
There was a minor support at 1270 – 1272 that gold has now broken. We could see gold move all the way down to between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels where the 30 and 50 period moving averages currently reside. Should gold move to these levels, it’d be near the rising channel low and fairly oversold. I am therefore looking for long entry signals inside my buy area at 1243.80 – 1255.50 range with Target 1 at 1265.50 – 1276 and Target 2 at 1281.80 – 1291.40.
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