GBP/JPY is expected to trade in a lower range. It is undermined by the increased investor risk aversion and Japan's exports. But GBP/JPY losses are tempered by the demand from the Japanese importers. The GBP sentiment is supported by better than expected improvement in the UK GfK consumer confidence index to 1 in January from -4 in December (versus forecast for -2).
The daily chart is mixed as the MACD is bearish, but stochastics is rising from oversold levels; five-day moving average is meandering sideways below falling 15-day moving average.
The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as far as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 176.45. A break of this target will move the pair further downward to 175.71. The pivot point stands at 178.00. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, a long position is recommended with the first target at 179.45 and the second target at 180.20.
Uitgevoerd door, Analytische expert
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