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GBP/USD Weekly Pivot Points for April 30 - May 4, 2012

GBPJPYM30.png

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Fundamental overview:
GBP/JPY is expected to trade in a lower range. It is undermined by the soft EUR/USD undertone, diminished investor risk appetite and Japan's exports. But the EUR/JPY losses are tempered by demand from the Japanese importers.

Technical comment:
The daily chart is mixed as the MACD is bullish, stochastics is turning bullish at oversold levels, but five-day moving average is below 15-day moving average and is declining.

Trading recommendations:
The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as far as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 182.50. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 182.10. The pivot point stands at 184.15. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, a long position is recommended with the first target at 184.40 and the second target at 184.75.

Resistance levels:
184.40
184.75
185.35

Support levels:
182.50
182.10
181.75

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Uitgevoerd door, Analytische expert
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