On February 5, temporary bullish breakout above 1.5220 (previous consolidation range) took place. Shortly after, an ascending channel was established since price levels of 1.5170-1.5200 are indicating the bullish sentiment on the market.
A projected target for this bullish breakout has already been reached around 1.5550 where the previous daily bottoms were located (daily resistance).
Two weeks ago, the bearish breakdown of the lower limit of the depicted channel occurred enhancing the bearish side of the market and confirming the Flag pattern as bearish.
Significant bearish pressure was applied at the price level of 1.5200 (R2), then 1.4950 (R1 = broken weekly bottom).
Bearish persistence below 1.4950-1.5000 indicated a further bearish decline. Initial projection target for this bearish breakout was located at 1.4700.
Last week, GBP/USD bulls significantly managed to defend the recent bottom at 1.4700. Evident bullish rejection was expressed around 1.4630 resulting in the formation of a bullish Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.
Persistence above 1.4980-1.5000 (neck-line) is a must to confirm the pattern's projection target at 1.5200. Otherwise, the GBP/USD pair remains in a long-term downtrend as depicted on the WEEKLY chart.
Risky traders can wait for H4 bullish breakout above 1.5000 for a short-term BUY entry with a quite good projection target.
T/P levels should be set at 1.5080, 1.5120 and finally at 1.5200. S/L should be set as DAILY closure below 1.4900.
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Uitgevoerd door, Analytische expert
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