USD/CHF is expected to consolidate in higher range after hitting one-month low 0.9484 on Thursday. It is underpinned by the comment from SNB's Fritz Zurbrugg that Switzerland is facing difficult times, a short period of deflation following January's unwinding of the EUR/CJF currency peg, improved dollar sentiment, Swissie sales on cross trades versus major currencies, negative Swiss interest rates, and threat of Swiss National Bank CHF-selling intervention. But USD/CHF gains are tempered by the positions adjustment ahead of weekend.
The daily chart is mixed, the MACD is bearish but bullish outside-day-range pattern was completed on Thursday, stochastics is turning bullish at oversold levels.
The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to be trading in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price holds above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 0.9720 and the second target at 0.7765. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.7525. A break of this target would push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 0.7485. The pivot point is at 0.7570.
Uitgevoerd door, Analytische expert
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