The market aggressively pushed lower after breaking below major demand levels around 1.2100 and 1.2000 where historical bottoms were previously established back in July 2012 and June 2010.
The EUR/USD pair has lost almost 1600 pips since the beginning of 2015. Moreover, the EUR/USD pair has been already pushed slightly below the monthly demand level around 1.0550 (established on January 1997) where some bullish recovery was applied as anticipated.
The price action should be observed around the current monthly demand level looking for monthly closure below 1.0570 as theoretical long-term targets are projected around 0.9450.
Obvious bearish breakdown of the weekly demand level at 1.1100 enhanced the bearish side of the market exposing lower targets.
Full projection targets for the Flag pattern were successfully reached around 1.0800 and 1.0500.
As anticipated, after such a long bearish rally (which started off 1.1300) bullish rejection was around 1.0570 (monthly demand level).
Since then, the EUR/USD pair has been moving towards 1.1150.
We mentioned that daily persistence above the price zone of 1.0850-1.0860 (recent demand zone) is a must to maintain the bullish corrective movement towards 1.1100 where a long-term sell position can be offered.
On the other hand, daily closure below 1.0850 (already took place yesterday) invalidates the bullish correction, bringing the EUR/USD pair back towards 1.0650-1.0600 (weekly low).
Uitgevoerd door, Analytische expert
InstaForex Group © 2007-2015