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    Technical analysis of USD/CHF for May 04, 2015

    USDCHFM30.png

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    Fundamental overview:
    USD/CHF is expected to consolidate after hitting the two-month low of 0.9335 on Wednesday. The pair is ndermined by the negative dollar sentiment and franc demand on retreating the EUR/CHF cross. But USD/CHF downside is limited by the negative Swiss interest rates and threat of the Swiss National Bank to carry out CHF-selling intervention.

    Technical comment:
    The daily chart is still negative-biased as the MACD and stochastics are bearish, although the latter one is at oversold levels. Five-day moving average is below 15-day moving average and is declining.

    Trading recommendations:
    The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9290. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 0.9220. The pivot point stands at 0.9420. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9500 and the second target at 0.9575.

    Resistance levels:
    0.95
    0.9575
    0.9620

    Support levels:
    0.9290
    0.9220
    0.9175

    Uitgevoerd door, Analytische expert
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