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Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for May 18, 2015

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The market was pushed lower after breaking below the major demand levels around 1.2100 and 1.2000 where historical bottoms were previously established back in July 2012 and June 2010.

The EUR/USD pair lost almost 1,500 pips since the beginning of 2015. Moreover, EUR/USD bears have already pushed the market slightly below the monthly demand level of 1.0550 (established on January 1997).

The previous monthly closure had a negative impact on the EUR/USD pair. However, April's monthly candlestick came as a bullish engulfing candle as depicted on the chart.

In the long term, bearish breakdown of the monthly demand level at 1.0550 should not be excluded as the long-term breakout target is roughly projected towards the level of 0.9450.

In the meanwhile, further bearish decline can be hindered for a few weeks. On the other hand, bullish corrective movement towards 1.1500 and 1.1600 is highly probable now especially if the daily persistence above the level of 1.1250 is maintained for a few days.

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The obvious bearish breakout of the weekly demand level at 1.1100 allowed the market to fall dramatically shortly afterwards.

After such a long bearish rally (which started around the levels of 1.1300), bullish rejection was expressed at 1.0570 (monthly demand level).

A bullish continuation pattern with an ascending bottom was established around the level of 1.0650.

This applied a strong bullish pressure to the prominent supply levels at 1.1150 and 1.1240. Thus, bears failed to pause the ongoing bullish momentum of the EUR/USD pair.

As anticipated, daily persistence above the levels of 1.1250 and 1.1350 enhanced the bullish side of the market.

The nearest daily supply level comes to meet the EUR/USD pair around the level of 1.1500 if the currently expressed bullish momentum is maintained above 1.1370 (corresponding to a previous weekly high).

On the other hand, the failure to close above 1.1370 indicates further sideways movement without significant bullish advancement.

Uitgevoerd door, Analytische expert
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