InstaForex - Analytics


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    AUDNZD long term downtrend could continue

    Looking at the long-term picture based on the daily time frame, AUD/NZD got quite volatile over the last year. While it has been consistently rising since the beginning of 2014, after reaching the top at 1.1298 it felt sharply. The pair lost over 1200 points in 5 months.

    The uptrend breakout allowed applying Fibonacci in order to find support/resistance and potential targets. The most significant fact is a break below the downside target, S3 (1.0344), which assumes a continuation of a long-term decline. In addition, AUD/NZD is currently rejecting the 50% Fibs, the point of the trend-line breakout, and it looks like a strong resistance has been established around the R1 (1.0820) area.

    Consider selling AUD/NZD around the current levels. A target is seen at S2 (1.0570), the most appropriate area because it was acting as support as well as resistance previously. A break above 1.0890, which was a high back on May 13, could send the price higher to test the uptrend as resistance this time.

    Support: 1.0707, 1.0569, 1.0344

    Resistance: 1.0820, 1.0933, 1.1289


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