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    Thursday 05, the Expected Day! - Fundamental Analysis, for July 04, 2012

    EUR/USD: This pair rallied by 150 pips at least yesterday, but the bearish bias is not over. What can render the bearish bias invalid is a condition in which the price goes above the resistance line at 1.1050. If the price fails to cross above that resistance line, a new lease of bearish movement might begin.


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    USD/CHF: The USD/CHF pair was corrected lower yesterday. Unless the support level at 0.9500 is breached to the downside, this would be seen as an opportunity to go long when things are on sale and in the context of an uptrend. In case the USD gains stamina, the pair may rally again.


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    GBP/USD: Irrespective of the recent consolidation, there is still a clean bullish bias on the Cable. For the bullish bias to continue being valid, the distribution territory at 1.5650 must be breached to the upside. Otherwise, there could be a risk of a strong bearish correction this week.


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    USD/JPY: The USD/JPY pair went below the supply level at 124.50 yesterday. This is seen as a bearish correction in the context of an uptrend, and it may offer another opportunity to go long at a better price. However, this assumption will be valid only as long as the price is above the demand level at 123.00 because a movement below that demand level would signal a bearish bias.


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    EUR/JPY: This currency trading instrument went upwards from the demand zone at 134.50 reaching the supply zone at 135.50. Unless the price trends downwards again, further rally may render the bearish outlook invalid. The greatest determinant of the movement itself is the euro.


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