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    EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for July 6 - 2012

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    Overview:

    When bulls pushed the price further above 79.6% Fibonacci level, the market looked quite overbought. That is why, the price failed to hold above 1.2650 - 1.2680 (previous highs) resulting in a formation of successive lower highs (within the depicted consolidation zone) enhancing the bearish side of the market.

    Daily fixation below 1.2300 opened a way towards the levels of 1.2000 and 1.1940 (the depicted weekly uptrend).

    Bullish support was found around these levels. Successive higher lows were established. Bullish pressure was applied against the resistance levels of 1.2450 and 1.2500 (previous tops).

    On the other hand, the previous weekly candlestick came FRANK bullish. That is why, an extensive bullish movement is being seen on the chart.

    A bullish breakout above the price zone of 1.2770-1.2800 has been executed.

    The long-term bullish projection target would be located at the level of 1.3080 if enough bullish support is maintained.

    Conservative traders can wait for a bullish pullback towards the price zone of 1.2800-1.2750 for a valid BUY entry with a low risk/reward ratio (Breakout level = Recent Support).

    Stop Loss should be located below the price level of 1.2700. T/P levels should be located at 1.2850 and 1.2900 initially.


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