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    Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for October 5, 2015


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    Technical summary:

    Prices spiked higher on Friday due to the weak Non Farm Payrolls data, but only to resume an underlying decline towards at least a 38.2% corrective target at 1.6781. In the short term, we are watching for a break below 1.7294 (the bottom of wave i of C) to confirm wave iii moving lower to at least 1.7028.

    At this point, only an unexpected rally above 1.7650 will question the underlying bearish count.

    Trading recommendation:

    Our stop at 1.7580 was hit due to a price spike on Friday, but we remain bearish and still see a nice downside potential. So, we will like to short EUR at 1.7530 with a stop at 1.7660.

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