We have been looking for a wave a bottom near 124.00, but it finally seems to be in place with a low of 122.42. We do think this overshooting is a sign of the crowed getting ahead of itself.
With a bottom in place, we now expect wave b to rally back to at least 127.41 before the risk turns towards the downside again. A target at 127.41 could be overshot. In the short term, we are looking for support near 123.62 and at 123.02 again, which should protect the downside for a rally higher with the next resistance seen near 125.90.
We have bought EUR at 123.80. We will place our stop at 122.35 now. We hope we will be able to move it higher soon. Take profit will be placed at 127.25.