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    Technical analysis of USDX for March 30, 2016 2016-03-30

    The Dollar index, as expected by our last analysis, has pulled back towards the short-term support at 95. For the last couple of days I've been calling a bearish reversal in the Dollar index and the speech by Fed Chairman Janet Yellen was the cause of such a pullback.

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    As I showed yesterday, the Dollar index was rejected at the downward sloping trend line from 98.60 and with oscillators diverging a pullback was imminent. After Janet Yellen's speech, the Dollar was pressured by sellers, so the index fell heavily towards the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement support levels.

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    Blue lines - trading range

    Although the Dollar index is still trapped inside the trading range shown by the blue lines, the short-term trend remains bearish as the price continues to make lower lows and lower highs. The price is still below the Kumo (cloud) resistance. However, I do not see a bullish divergence in the oscillators yet, so a new lower low could be expected. Above 96.40, the short-term trend changes to bullish.


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