Economic news

Gold Edges Up as Dollar Slips, Oil Falls before Data

  • Oil falls after Iran, Israel halt strikes on each other
  • US May CPI data due on Wednesday
  • Traders see about 70% chance of US rate hike in December

June 9 (Reuters) - Gold edged higher on Tuesday, rebounding ‌from a more than two-month low in the previous session, as a weaker dollar and falling oil prices lent support while investors evaluated Middle East peace prospects ahead of key inflation ​data.

Spot gold edged 0.2% higher at $4,338.69 per ounce, as of 9:05 a.m. ​ET (1305 GMT). It fell to its lowest level since March 23 in ⁠the previous session.

U.S. gold futures for August delivery were steady at $4,363.90.

The dollar weakened ​0.3% against its peers, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies.

"We've ​seen some weakness in oil prices... while gold has pulled back recently, the uptick appears to be largely driven by short-covering," said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at Forex.com.

Developments in the Middle East ​point to a possible peace deal, which pushed oil prices lower after Iran ​and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an appeal from U.S. President Donald ‌Trump.

Lower ⁠oil prices could ease inflation fears, making room for interest-rate cuts by central banks and boosting the appeal of non-yielding gold.

After last week's strong job numbers, focus has shifted to key inflation data this week, including the May U.S. Consumer Price Index ​print on Wednesday and ​Producer Price Index ⁠reading on Thursday, for more clues on the U.S. monetary policy outlook.

"Should the U.S. inflation data for May also surprise on ​the upside on Wednesday, the gold price is likely to ​fall further. ⁠This also increases the potential for a recovery later in the year, should, as we expect, the Fed not raise interest rates," Commerzbank said in a note.

Traders are pricing ⁠in ​about 70% chance of a Fed rate hike ​in December, according to the CME FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Spot silver rose 0.7% to $68.61 per ounce, platinum gained 1.4% to $1,778.98, ​and palladium rose 3.8% to $1,251.05.

Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar

Source: Reuters


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