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Oil Edges Up Towards $75, Omicron Concerns Dominate

  • Omicron impact aside, oil supply set to top demand -IEA
  • ADB trims developing Asia's growth forecasts over Omicron risks
  • OPEC remains upbeat on 2022 oil demand
  • Permian oil output forecast to hit record high in January -EIA

LONDON, Dec 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged higher towards $75 a barrel on Tuesday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) said that the new Omicron coronavirus variant was set to dent the global demand recovery.

Brent crude oil futures rose 27 cents, or 0.36%, to $74.66 a barrel by 1231 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 23 cents, or 0.32%, to $71.52.

"The surge in new COVID-19 cases is expected to temporarily slow, but not upend, the recovery in oil demand that is underway," the Paris-based IEA said in its monthly oil report.

Governments around the world, including most recently Britain and Norway, have tightened restrictions to stop the spread of the Omicron variant.

The IEA lowered its forecast for oil demand this year and the next by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) each, mostly due to the expected blow to jet fuel use from new travel curbs.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Monday raised its world oil demand forecast for the first quarter of 2022 and stuck to its timeline for a return to pre-pandemic levels of oil use, saying the Omicron coronavirus variant would have a mild and brief impact.

At the same time, the Asian Development Bank on Tuesday trimmed its growth forecasts for developing Asia for this year and next to reflect risks and uncertainty brought on by the variant, which could also hamper oil demand.

On the supply side, OPEC and other major producers including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, plan to gradually increase supply every month by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) after sharply cutting back output last year.

Output in the largest U.S. shale basin is expected to surge to a record in January, according to a monthly forecast from the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Monday. 

Additional reporting by Jessica Jaganathan; Editing by Stephen Coates, David Evans and Louise Heavens

Source: Reuters

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