TenkoFX - Analytics


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    Latest Update: Cable Dips Below 1.40 But Next Hour Favours Remain - TDS

    TD Securities’ model range includes both Leave and Remain, adding that for the first time tonight, their two forecast models point to different results.Key QuotesFor the first time tonight, our two forecast models point to different results, with the lower bound at 49.6% support for Remain and the upper bound deteriorating to 50.8%. Betting odds too have moved strongly to 67% in favour of a Leave result, and ITV have forecasted a 75% chance of a Leave win. Of the votes cast so far, 48.6% are for Remain.We now have over 160 of the 382 voting areas reporting, with 34.4% of votes cast, and turnout holding above 70%. There are still some strong Remain areas that were due to report earlier tonight, which should provide a boost to Remain support in the next hour, but at this point, it remains too close to call the final tally.

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