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    Today’s Trading Edge: Oil rebounds from double bottom to a double top pattern

     

    WWM US OIL FEB 9 2015

    Oil prices have rebounded from a double bottom pattern around the $44.00 support region.  This countertrend rally occurs after a month long consolidation after making a near 6-year low.  Today’s rally marked the third consecutive bullish trading day and was supported by the OPEC upgraded forecast for crude demand.   

    Price action on the four-hour chart shows that the recent advance is currently forming a potential double top pattern.  If the reversal does drive price down below the bullish trendline in green, we could see momentum take price back down towards the double-bottom region. 

    Critical resistance will come from the 50-day SMA, which is currently at $53.51.  Only consecutive daily closes above this region would open the door for one last thrust towards $56.00, before we may see downward momentum return. 

    Major downward support may come from the $37.00 level, which is where we may see a bullish ABCD pattern form. 

    The trade: Sell US Oil at $52.30 with a stop loss at $54.30 and a take profit at $48.30.  The Risk/Reward Ratio is almost 1:2

    Edward J. Moya

    Technical Strategist

    WorldWideMarkets Online Trading

     

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