XM Group - Analytics

    XM Group

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    Technical Analysis – GBPUSD Daily: Rangebound between 1.50 and 1.60

    Cable has been sort of directionless for a substantial period of time – more or less since it stabilized after its post-financial crisis crash from a high of 2.11 to a low 1.35 in 2008-2009 and traded between 1.40 and 1.70 for the past 5 years plus.

    The pound rallied from around 1.45 to nearly 1.60 between mid-April and mid-June but backed down towards the middle of the 1.50-1.60 range since then.

    On the downside, the 1.5330 3 ½ -month low and the 1.5090 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the move from 1.45 to 1.60 are the key levels to watch.  RSI is negative with a 41% reading, while the MACD indicator is also neutral.

    On the upside, 1.5687 should be watched as a short-term top as well as the 1.5928 June high which also marks the 9-month high.  But given the lack of a clear trend for such a prolonged period, any breakouts will be treated with suspicion until a clearer sense of direction is established.

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