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Bond Yields Rise, Oil Extends Gains as US-Iran Truce Ends

  • US 30-year Treasury bond yield hits highest since mid-2007
  • MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index reverses early gains
  • Brent above $90, up for third day as Mideast stalemate persists

SINGAPORE, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Bond ​yields climbed on Tuesday to their highest in decades, with oil prices rising for a third day ‌and stocks under pressure in Asian trade as a U.S.-Iran truce expired and Tehran threatened to adopt a "fully offensive" military posture.

The yield on the U.S. 30-year Treasury bond rose as much as 1.6 basis points to an intraday high of 5.326%, its highest in almost 20 years. Its ​10-year counterpart traded up 1.8 basis points at 4.7399%.

"This matters considerably if the move continues," raising the hurdle ​rate for stocks, tightening financial conditions and putting pressure on leveraged companies and governments, said Charu ⁠Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank in Singapore. "Asia is already showing some of that spillover."

S&P 500 e-mini futures lost ​0.4% as MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slid 0.8%, reversing early gains as stocks in South Korea, ​Taiwan, and China weighed on the benchmark.

South Korea's KOSPI erased an early gain of more than 3% as the Seoul market returned after a holiday to tumble 2.1%, while the Nikkei 225 fell 2.2%.

Brent crude futures edged up 0.4% to $91.26 a barrel as a rally in oil prices ​extended into a third consecutive day in Asian trade.

As the recent global selloff in bonds deepened, the yield on the ​10-year Japanese government bond rose 1.5 basis points at 2.935%, a three-decade high.

"This feels more like a buyers' strike than a sellers' panic," said ‌Masahiko Loo, ⁠senior fixed income strategist at State Street Investment Management in Tokyo, referring to the bond market pressure.

"Markets are rediscovering term premium in a world where fiscal deficits, heavier bond supply and AI-driven capital spending are all competing for capital at the same time."

Overnight on Wall Street, the S&P 500 slipped 0.5% while the Nasdaq Composite edged 0.3% lower as soft U.S. economic data, ​including an unexpected drop in ​retail sales, led traders ⁠to reduce bets on an imminent Fed interest rate move.

Some analysts questioned why the move in bond yields had not led to a climbdown on the Iran war from the U.S. ​president.

"Typically, moves above 4.65% for the U.S. 10-year have been followed by some soothing words ​from the Trump ⁠administration, typically centred on an imminent resolution to the war with Iran," ING analysts wrote in a note.

"This time, we're not hearing the same," they added. "In fact, the latest indications are for no imminent resolution as the shaky 60-day truce came to an ⁠end."

The U.S. ​dollar index , which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six ​currencies, was up 0.1% at 99.65, pulling back from a two-month low.

Gold was down 0.6% at $4,389.44, snapping two days of gains.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was down ​0.3% at $64,150.36, while ether was down 0.6% at $1,893.16.

Reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter; Editing by Sonali Paul, Clarence Fernandez and Muralikumar Anantharaman

Source: Reuters


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