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FxPro Forex Analysis: EURUSD and Gold Analysis – May 4, 2018
traders seek to close positions before US jobs report, making bets against the trend. The last two weeks, such a trend was rally in the dollar, so in the recent session we saw the USD retreat from highs.
FxPro Forex Analysis: EURUSD and EURGBP Analysis – April 23, 2018
US dollar may extend rally, if Trump's rhetoric remains relatively calm, economic releases will exceed forecasts, and bond yields rise to 3% level
Bitcoin continues to rise, soaring near $400 in an hour
There are no fundamental reasons for the sharp growth. I think that the general nature of the dynamics is speculative
Daily analytical report (05/04/18)
Investors do not understand how to react to currency wars. For a long time, they have focused solely on the monetary policy of central banks, and now they are asking themselves whether regulators will take into account the risks of a slowdown in the global economy? If so, last year's strategy, based on the normalization of monetary policy by central banks-competitors of the Fed, will fail in 2018.
Yen climbs on trade war concerns
Fed believes that the economic prospects have firmed in recent months, and inflation will increase to around 2%
Since the beginning of this year, the yen has strengthened by almost 7% against the dollar, which creates serious problems not only for exports, but also for inflation. I think to restrain "bears" on USDJPY pair is possible only in case of de-escalation of the conflict between Washington and Beijing
The single currency dipped yesterday due to Draghi's comments. In his speech after the decision on the rate, the head of ECB noted that trade conflicts represent risks for the economy and markets. However, the biggest impact on the single currency was made by comments that the ECB intends to keep low rates for a long time after the end of QE.
Prices of oil slump on trade war worries after the resignation of Trump’s economic adviser
This situation one more time pulls oil prices down but I suppose that the traders will find some aspects which help them do not lose their profit.
Ruble, Sterling and Yuan advance as Dollar struggles ahead of Powell testimony
It seems that the markets are going to do everything possible to return to the "golden mean" scenario for global risky assets, in the hope that the recent shocking volatility was a one-time incident involving an absurd level of debt load amid volatility.
Pound gains as UK inflation holds steady
Pound rose modestly against the dollar. When there is a threat of higher volatility over financial markets, neither the monetary restriction nor the "hawkish" rhetoric of the Bank of England are able to return the interest of non-residents to the assets of British issuers. Moreover, a trade deal between London and Brussels remains in question.
Dollar depressed despite hawkish Fed, Gold dips
US dollar rose after the Fed stressed the positive changes in the economy and raised its forecast for inflation. Although it can strengthen by another 50-100 points against ALL other major currencies, the downward pressure on it is still very strong.
World shares tumble, Dollar struggles to fight back
All eyes on Fed policy meeting this week. We can see another 3 interest rate hikes this year. This, in turn, will lead to an increase in the yield of debt instruments
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Bitcoin slides 18 percent on crackdown fears; crypto rivals also plunge (news: 16/01/18)
This year we are likely to see successful and rising digital currencies. Judging by the pace of launch, development and application of currencies, 2018 will be another year of growth
Oil prices fall following 13% rise over the past few weeks
Transportation costs and surplus stocks in the US mean that producers will continue to sell oil at lower prices than WTI stock quotes. These low prices can become exactly what is needed for China's independent refineries to maintain the rate of return.
Despite high economic indicators and forecasts, the euro was unable to consolidate its achievements after the breakthrough on Wednesday. Although the euro did not react to these changes and Mario Draghi's optimistic statements about economic growth due to his fears about low inflation, I think that the euro's fall will be small.
Daily analytical report (05/12/17)
The most important event for the US dollar this week is Friday's report on employment in the non-agricultural sector. It is expected that the number of employed increased by 200 thousand, but the average salary and the unemployment rate should determine how the dollar will react and what are the investors' expectations before the decision of the Federal Reserve on monetary policy.
U.S. tax cut optimism supports dollar
Investors do not buy the dollar, preferring to wait for the Congress's decisions on tax reform, but the euro does not have new drivers to continue the rally, which increases the risks of consolidating EUR / USD in the range of 1,172-1,202.
Dollar punished by Fed caution, UK GDP in focus
The euro rises against the dollar thanks to disappointing US statistics and growing fears of the Fed on the slowdown of inflation and increased turbulence in financial markets
EUR/USD has risen recently due to the euro strength, and not to the dollar's weakness, now the pair needs to resume strengthening
