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Cboe to Launch Prediction Market Contracts Beyond Binary Bets, Offering Partial Payouts

March 9 (Reuters) - Derivatives and securities exchange operator Cboe said on Monday it plans to launch prediction ​market contracts offering partial payouts based ‌on the accuracy of traders' predictions, moving beyond the traditional all-or-nothing format.

The move mirrors features used in ​betting apps, where users can cash out ​wagers early as events progress, and is ⁠inspired by concepts such as traditional vertical ​spread in the options markets.

"Real-world opinions aren't ​always binary, and investors shouldn't be confined to a yes-or-no framework," said JJ Kinahan, Head of retail expansion ​and alternative investment products at Cboe.

The exchange ​plans to debut the framework through a Mini S&P 500 ‌Index ⁠prediction market contract and it follows Cboe's exploration of a new regulated product that would use an options structure to offer all-or-none ​payouts.

Major U.S. ​exchange operators ⁠are increasingly seeking to tap into the event prediction markets space, which ​has surged into the mainstream since ​the ⁠2024 U.S. presidential race.

Exchange operator Nasdaq is also seeking SEC approval to launch prediction market style ⁠options ​tied to major stock indexes, ​while Intercontinental Exchange has invested up to $2 billion in Polymarket.

Reporting by ​Pragyan Kalita in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore

Source: Reuters


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