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Chile's Central Bank Holds Rate amid Mideast War Risk

SANTIAGO, (Reuters) - Chile's central bank on Tuesday held its benchmark interest rate at 4.5% in a unanimous decision, in ​line with expectations and marking its third consecutive decision to ‌maintain the rate.

In a statement, Chile's central bank said the prolongation of the war in the Middle East was worsening forecasts for global inflation and economic activity, ​and increasing risks that oil prices will remain high.

Tuesday's decision ​follows two consecutive holds in January and March.

"Although oil price ⁠futures continue to point to a decline, the prolongation of the ​conflict has increased the risks that prices will remain high," the bank ​said, noting prices have settled above those envisioned in last month's monetary policy report.

It also said the course of the war so far has been "more adverse" than ​the baseline scenario of last month's report, noting that "the macroeconomic outlook ​remains subject to a higher-than-usual degree of uncertainty."

The central bank also pointed to higher ‌copper ⁠prices. Chile is the world's top producer of the red metal, considered an economic bellwether due to its uses across many sectors.

For March, Chile recorded inflation up 2.8% from a year earlier, pushed up by higher ​transport costs and ​amid a ⁠steep hike in fuel prices conducted by the new government of President Jose Antonio Kast.

The measure, which seeks ​to bring domestic prices in line with surging international ​rates, hit ⁠Kast's popularity early in his term and triggered some protests that clashed with police.

Following the fuel costs hike, the central bank raised its 2026 inflation ⁠forecast ​to 3.6% from 2.9% previously, and trimmed ​its economic growth forecast to 1.5% to 2.5%, down from a prior range of 2% ​to 3%.

Reporting by Natalia Ramos and Sarah Morland; Editing by Natalia Siniawski

Source: Reuters


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