Economic news

China Keeps Benchmark LPRs Unchanged for 13th Month

SHANGHAI, June 22 (Reuters) - China left benchmark lending rates unchanged for the 13th consecutive month in June on Monday, in line ​with market expectations.

WHY IT'S IMPORTANT

The steady loan prime rates (LPRs) signal ‌authorities are in no rush to ease policy, even as broader economic divergence persists and policymakers show little concern about slowing credit growth.

BY THE NUMBERS

The one-year loan ​prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.00%, while the five-year LPR was ​unchanged at 3.50%.

In a Reuters survey of 30 market participants conducted ⁠last week, all participants predicted no change to either of the ​two rates.

CONTEXT

Recent economic data showed that a two-speed growth pattern in the world's ​second-largest economy, with factories buoyed by surprisingly resilient exports but domestic demand worsening amid a years-long property downturn.

Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), told the annual ​Lujiazui Forum last week that loan growth has slowed in recent ​years, even as bond and equity financing has steadily gained traction, describing the shift ‌as ⁠evidence of "profound economic restructuring" and new growth engines.

China's new bank lending rose less than expected in May after contracting the previous month, as a prolonged property downturn continued to weigh on household borrowing.

KEY QUOTES

Jing Sima, chief strategist ​at BCA Research:

"We do ​not expect ⁠outright policy-rate cuts in the second half ... The persistent issue facing the aggregate economy is not a shortage ​of liquidity supply, but a lack of credit demand.

"Our ​base case ⁠is that fiscal policy becomes more supportive in the second half of the year, while the PBOC remains broadly accommodative but refrains from outright rate ⁠cuts."

Ho ​Woei Chen, economist at UOB:

"Unless further evidence ​suggests that growth could slow below the official target of 4.5%-5.0%, we think policy responses will ​be incremental."

Reporting by Shanghai Newsroom; Editing by Christian Schmollinger and Shri Navaratnam

Source: Reuters


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