Economic news

China May new Home Prices Fall Faster on Soft Demand

  • New home prices dip 0.2% in May from April
  • May new home prices fall 3.5% y/y, matching April's decline
  • Property sales, investment fall more sharply in January-May

BEIJING, June 16 (Reuters) - China's new home prices fell at a slightly faster pace in May, official data showed on Tuesday, ‌as the crisis-hit property sector continued to grapple with fragile demand, even as larger cities showed tentative signs of stabilisation.

New home prices dipped 0.2% in May from the previous month, steepening from a 0.1% decline in April, according to Reuters calculations based on National Bureau of Statistics data.

On an annual basis, prices in ​May fell 3.5%, matching the decline in April.

The price falls dampened hopes that the real estate sector, which accounted for ​around a quarter of the economy at its peak, is close to bottoming out after a nearly ⁠five-year slump.

The slump has not only crippled some of China's biggest property firms, but also turned a once key economic growth driver ​into a drag and weighed on overall household appetite for consumption.

But Zhang Dawei, analyst at Centaline Property, said that the period of steep ​home price declines across China had passed and the market was not at risk of a rapid downturn.

Zhang said the property market would continue to be characterised by "resilience in tier-one cities, divergence in tier-two cities and pressure in tier-three cities".

Property sales, investment, new construction and funds raised by developers all fell more ​sharply in January-May, official data showed.

An index tracking China's real estate stocks fell 1.2% in morning trading, while an index for Hong Kong-listed mainland ​property developers slumped around 3%.

However, prices in major cities showed tentative signs of stabilising, while local governments have stepped up efforts to shore up sales.

Prices ‌in the ⁠country's largest cities rose 0.2% in May after a 0.1% gain in April, with Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou posting increases. Prices in smaller tier-three cities extended their declines in May.

Home prices are expected to fall at a slower pace than forecast in a March survey this year and edge up in 2027, according to a Reuters housing market poll conducted May 18 to 28.

Guangzhou released fresh homebuying incentives in late April, ​offering subsidies to residents who ​upgrade their homes by buying ⁠a new one and selling an old one, while encouraging state-owned firms to buy second-hand homes.

Resale home prices showed some improvement in the biggest cities, rising in May for a third straight month. However, ​resale home prices fell in smaller cities from a month earlier and declined across all city tiers ​from a year ⁠earlier.

Second-hand home supply is shaped by household expectations. Except for a slight decline in early 2026, listings had been rising, according to a research note published by CITIC Securities this week.

New home supply, by contrast, is determined by the land auction market. Under strict supply-control measures, new home ⁠supply has ​already fallen to a relatively low level, the note said.

"As expectations among most households ​remain weak, second-hand housing supply remains elevated," it added.

Second-hand homes in tier-two and tier-three cities face longer destocking cycles, with prices likely to remain at low levels until ​inventories are effectively absorbed, Zhang said.

Reporting by Yukun Zhang, Liangping Gao and Ryan Woo; Editing by Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong and Thomas Derpinghaus

Source: Reuters


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