Economic news

China's Export Growth Seen Accelerating in August: Poll

  • Trade data to be released on Tuesday

BEIJING, Sept 7 (Reuters) - China's exports likely grew at a faster pace in August, ​a Reuters poll showed, indicating that the world's second-largest economy will continue ‌to rely on external demand to shore up growth as domestic weaknesses persisted.

Exports are expected to have risen 25% year-on-year in U.S. dollar terms in August, accelerating from 23.9% the previous month, ​according to a Reuters poll of 35 economists. Trade data will be released ​by Customs on Tuesday.

Exports have become a pillar for China's economy ⁠in sustaining growth amid tepid domestic consumption and slumping investment, but the strength in ​exports also delays the urgency for the government to prop up the weaker side ​of the economy, such as the property market.

Policymakers set a target range of 4.5-5% for China's gross domestic product growth in 2026, but momentum sputtered after a solid start of the year, with ​growth slowing to 4.3% in the second quarter.

Economic data released last month showed that domestic ​demand and investment remained weak in July, while the official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) for August pointed ‌to improved ⁠but still subdued manufacturing activity.

China's exports, on the other hand, remained resilient last year despite Beijing's trade war with Washington and were buoyed this year by a global AI infrastructure build-out that lifted prices for high-tech goods including chips.

Meanwhile, the export boom is ​a source of risk ​as western trading ⁠partners demand Beijing to balance its trade with them and seek to lower China's surplus with trade barriers.

China says it never deliberately ​pursues a trade surplus and that the export growth originates from ​its own ⁠innovation and other countries' demand for Chinese goods for green transformation and industrialisation. Chinese leaders also repeatedly pledged to import more.

Imports are forecast to grow 30% year-on-year in August ⁠in dollar ​terms, accelerating from 27.5% in July, while China's ​trade surplus is expected to rise to $119.05 billion from $112.5 billion in July.

Reporting by Yukun Zhang and Ryan Woo; ​Polling by Susobhan Sarkar in Bengaluru and Jing Wang in Shanghai; editing by Lincoln Feast

Source: Reuters


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