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Citigroup Pushes Back Fed Rate Cut Timeline after Strong Job Numbers

April 6 (Reuters) - Citigroup has pushed back its Fed rate-cut timeline, citing unexpectedly strong U.S. ​job gains and persistent inflation risks.

The ‌Wall Street brokerage now expects a total of 75 basis points of rate cuts ​in September, October and December ​instead of June, July and September, ⁠according to a note dated April ​3.

"We continue to think signs of ​a weakening labor market will result in cuts later in the year. But the timing ​of upcoming data suggests a later ​start to rate cuts than we had previously ‌been ⁠expecting," Citigroup said.

U.S. job growth rebounded more than expected in March as a strike by healthcare workers ended ​and temperatures ​warmed up, ⁠but downside risks for the labor market are mounting ​from a war with Iran ​that ⁠has no clear end in sight.

Citigroup says weak hiring will push the unemployment ⁠rate ​higher in the summer, ​similar to the last few years.

Reporting by Kanishka ​Ajmera in Bengaluru; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala

Source: Reuters


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