Economic news

Dollar Gains as Hot Inflation, Fed Lift Rate-Hike Bets

  • Swiss franc slips to two-week low against dollar
  • Japanese yen briefly hits seven-week low vs dollar

Nov 11 (Reuters) - The dollar rose against most currencies on Wednesday, extending gains after inflation data and ​hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials a day earlier fuelled bets that the US ‌central bank will raise interest rates next month.

The US dollar index , which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was 0.2% higher at 102.4, closing in on a high not seen in about two weeks.

The gauge traded up ​0.5% on Tuesday after data showed US consumer prices increased by more than expected in October ​amid higher costs for food and accommodations, marking a third consecutive month of upside ⁠surprises.

"The dollar has continued to have some broad-based support on the expectation that the Fed would be ​more aggressive in their monetary tightening," said Rory Glass, an FX dealer at Marex in London.

The euro depreciated ​slightly to $1.114, extending losses after a fall of more than 0.5% on Tuesday. Data on Wednesday showed German inflation slowed to 2.8% in October, confirming a preliminary reading.

The pound fell 0.2% to $1.332 and was pinned near its lowest point in two weeks, ​while the Swiss franc weakened 0.4% to hit a two-week low.

The Japanese yen eased 0.1%, briefly hitting ​a seven-week low, close to falling below the psychologically important 160-per-dollar mark.

The Australian dollar was the only G10 currency to ‌rise ⁠against the dollar, inching 0.1% higher and coming off a seven-month low.

Comments from voting members of the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee signalling unease over high inflation have firmed up expectations for further rate hikes, with traders now fully pricing in a 25-basis-point rate hike in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Traders even ​saw slim chances of a ​50-bp rate hike next ⁠month and close to 75 bps worth of hiking by September next year, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Some brokerages revised their calls on future Fed ​monetary policy after Tuesday's data, with Goldman Sachs now expecting hikes in December and ​March, while Deutsche Bank ⁠expects hikes in December, January and March.

Most developed-market currencies, barring the Australian dollar and the Norwegian crown , have weakened against the dollar so far this year as a widening interest-rate gap boosted the US currency.

Some analysts also ⁠attributed ​the dollar's strength this year to safe-haven flows amid the US-Israeli ​war on Iran.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was 0.1% lower at $73,672.8, holding near its lowest in over two months. Ether held steady at $2,055.5.

Reporting by ​Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru and Gregor Stuart Hunter in Singapore; Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Stephen Coates and Thomas Derpinghaus

Source: Reuters


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