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ECB Survey Sees Slower Wage Demands and Price Growth

FRANKFURT, July 20 (Reuters) - Euro zone firms expect selling prices to rise more moderately and see a slowdown in wage growth, an ​ECB survey showed on Monday, adding to evidence ‌that a recent energy-driven inflation surge has yet to generate second-round price impacts.

Inflation is hovering near 3% on high energy costs, well above ​the ECB's 2% target, and policymakers are worried that ​this level of price increases will start to raise ⁠inflation expectations and generate undue wage demands, setting off a ​hard-to-break price spiral.

"On average, firms expected selling prices, non-labour input ​costs and wage expectations to rise more moderately over the next 12 months," the ECB said in its Survey on the Access to Finance ​of Enterprises.

The more than 5,000 firms participating in the survey ​now expect selling prices to increase by 3.2% in the next year, down ‌from ⁠3.5% three months earlier, while non-labour input costs, including energy, were projected to rise by 5.2%, down from

5.8%.

Wage growth expectations meanwhile eased to 2.5% from 2.8% in the previous quarter, the ​ECB said in ​its survey, ⁠which will be a key piece of data for policymakers in their rate-setting meeting on ​Thursday.

Firms' inflation expectations meanwhile stayed broadly unchanged.

Expectations for ​one and ⁠three years ahead were steady at 3.0%, while the five-year expectation rose to 3.1% from 3.0% three months earlier.

The ECB is ⁠expected ​to keep rates unchanged this week ​but high oil prices are fuelling bets for another hike in the 2.25% ​deposit rate in September.

Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Aidan Lewis

Source: Reuters


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