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Euro Zone Factory Growth Accelerates Again in September, PMI

BENGALURU, Oct 1 (Reuters) - Factory growth in the euro zone continued its upward march in September, hitting its fastest rate in more than four years, as resilient demand ​drove new orders and output to multi-year highs despite the ongoing Middle ‌East conflict, a survey showed.

S&P Global's Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose for a third consecutive month to 52.9 in September from 52.7 in August, its highest level since May 2022 and above ​a preliminary estimate of 52.7.

A reading above 50.0 indicates growth.

"The upturn is being driven ​by rising demand for investment goods such as machinery and equipment, with ⁠output of these capital goods growing in September at a rate not seen since ​the post-COVID rebound five years ago," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global ​Market Intelligence.

"This reflects higher demand for AI and defence-related equipment in particular."

Growth was broad-based across the bloc, with the Netherlands leading the expansion. Germany, the region's largest economy, recorded solid growth while expansion ​was modest in France, Italy and Spain.

New orders expanded at their fastest rate since ​early 2022, helped in part by export growth that hit a more than four-and-a-half-year high.

The output sub-index ‌climbed ⁠to a 55-month high of 53.6, supporting a rise in business confidence to its strongest level since February.

After ending a more than three-year run of job cuts in August, manufacturers stepped up hiring in September, albeit modestly.

However, rising prices could threaten the recovery. Both ​input and output inflation ​accelerated last month, ⁠pointing to mounting inflationary pressures. Official data due on Friday is expected to show inflation rose to 3.6% in September from 3.2% ​in August, the highest since September 2023.

Elevated inflation expectations have increased ​chances of ⁠further rate hikes from the European Central Bank with markets currently pricing in three rate hikes by mid-2027.

"Demand for consumer goods continues to fall ... with the increased cost of living ⁠acting as ​a drag on household spending," added Williamson.

"It’s therefore worrying ​to see both input costs and selling prices rising at increased rates again in September, which will fuel ​speculation about additional rate hikes from the ECB."

Reporting by Indradip Ghosh; Editing by Toby Chopra

Source: Reuters


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