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French Private Sector Contraction Eased in July, Flash PMIs

PARIS, July 24 (Reuters) - France's private sector contraction eased in July, with services output slowing only marginally, although inflation, borrowing costs and geopolitics ​all remained concerns as tensions in the Middle East ‌flare up again, a business survey showed on Friday.

The S&P Global flash France composite output index rose to 49.6 from 47.2 in June, a ​preliminary survey showed. The 50 mark separates growth from ​contraction.

A Reuters poll forecast for the July flash Composite PMI ⁠stood at 47.8.

The S&P Global flash France manufacturing Purchasing Managers' ​Index declined to 50.0 in July from 51.2 in June. The ​Reuters poll forecast was 51.

The S&P Global flash France services PMI business activity Index rose to 49.8 from 46.8 in June and above a Reuters ​forecast for 47.5.

The INSEE statistics agency said on Thursday that ​French business confidence has risen to a four-month high in July despite the latest ‌flare-up ⁠in the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.

Nevertheless, Joe Hayes, senior principal economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said ongoing economic uncertainty caused by Iran conflict would remain a headwind.

"While the latest survey data brought ​with it good ​news in ⁠the form of the France PMI rising further from its May low and inflationary pressures easing, ​it feels overly optimistic to bank on this momentum ​continuing ⁠given renewed pressures on oil and gas markets in recent days," said Hayes.

"Escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran bring fresh uncertainty ⁠about inflation, ​borrowing costs and geopolitics more broadly, ​and uncertainty has so often been to the detriment of the French economy in ​recent years," he added.

Reporting by Dominique Vidalon; Editing by Hugh Lawson

Source: Reuters


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