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German Commercial Property Prices Dip After Fragile Recovery

FRANKFURT, Aug 10 (Reuters) - Commercial real estate prices in Germany declined in the second quarter, the VDP banking association ​said on Monday, reversing a fragile recovery in ‌recent quarters after a rise in inflation and interest rates.

The setback follows five quarters of price gains that only partially made up for ​several years of steep drops in the wake ​of war in Ukraine, which set off Germany's worst ⁠property crisis in decades.

Like the war in Ukraine in ​2022, this year's conflict in Iran and the Middle East ​have sparked inflation fears and higher interest rates, negative factors for the financing of commercial property.

Prices of offices and retail buildings fell 1% ​in the quarter from a year earlier, after a ​0.5% annual gain in the first quarter, VDP's data showed.

By contrast, residential ‌property ⁠prices clocked another gain in the quarter, though the pace slowed. Home prices rose 1.9% from a year earlier, after a 2.3% gain the first quarter.

"The commercial real estate market ​is reacting ​more strongly than ⁠the residential real estate market to geopolitical developments, rising inflation expectations, and interest rate trends," ​said Jens Tolckmitt, CEO of VDP.

The development ​mirrors a survey ⁠in July that showed that the mood among those financing commercial real estate in Germany plunged in the quarter.

"The future ⁠development ​of the commercial real estate markets ​depends, among other things, on whether and when the numerous geopolitical conflicts will ​be resolved," Tolckmitt said.

Reporting by Tom Sims Editing by Linda Pasquini

Source: Reuters


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