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German Consumer Confidence Slumps as Energy Costs Bite

FRANKFURT, Sept 25 (Reuters) - German consumer sentiment weakened more sharply than expected heading into October, as rising energy prices soured households' income outlook, a ​survey showed on Friday.

The consumer sentiment index, published by the ‌Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions and the GfK market research institute, fell to -30.6 points heading into October from a revised -26.8 in September, missing the -27.4 average estimate ​in a Reuters poll of analysts.

"The majority of households expect that ​high energy prices will diminish their purchasing power," said ⁠Rolf Buerkl, head of consumer climate at NIM.

The income expectations sub-index ​slumped 16.7 points to -15.0, its lowest level since April 2026, shortly before ​a fuel discount was introduced.

"Consequently, they are more sceptical about income prospects for the next 12 months," he added.

Households' willingness to save jumped 6 points to 21.5, ​its highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, as consumers responded ​to elevated energy costs, the survey found.

NIM said the rise was especially pronounced among ‌wealthier ⁠households.

The willingness to buy edged down 1 point to -10.8, only slightly above the year-earlier level of -11.6, and has hovered around that mark for more than three years.

Economic expectations, by contrast, rose half a point to -3.4, ​a fifth consecutive ​increase, as Germany's ⁠economy performed better than expected in the first half of 2026.

 

OCT 2026

SEP 2026

OCT 2025

Consumer climate

-30.6

-26.8

-22.5

Components

SEP 2026

AUG 2026

SEP ​2025

Economic expectations

-3.4

-3.9

-1.4

Income expectations

-15.0

1.7

15.1

Willingness to buy

-10.8

-9.8

-11.6

Willingness to save

21.5

15.5

16.1

Price expectations

-0.4

-0.2

-6.3

The survey ​was conducted ⁠September 3-14, based on around 2,000 consumer interviews.

The consumer sentiment index is designed to forecast consumer behaviour in the following month.

A one-point change in ⁠the ​indicator corresponds to a year-on-year change of ​0.1% in private consumption.

A reading above zero indicates year-on-year growth in private consumption. A value ​below zero indicates a drop.

Reporting by Ludwig Burger, editing by Thomas Seythal

Source: Reuters


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