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German Govt to Raise Forecasts Due to Strong H1, Source Says

BERLIN, Oct 2 (Reuters) - The main driver behind the German government's raised economic forecasts is an ​unexpectedly strong performance of the German economy in ‌the first half of the year, a government source told Reuters on Friday.

"The economic recovery still lacks a broad ​base: private consumption and corporate investment are ​developing only sluggishly, while structural problems affecting ⁠Germany as a business location persist," the source ​said.

A person familiar with the draft told Reuters on Thursday ​that the government raised the growth forecast to 1.3% in 2026 and 1.1% in 2027. It had expected 0.5% growth ​for 2026 and 0.9% in 2027 in its ​April forecasts.

The new government forecasts - which will be published on ‌October ⁠8 - are in line with those of Germany's leading economic institutes, which were published at the end of September.

The economy ministry directed Reuters to the release ​scheduled for next ​week and ⁠declined to comment further.

The fiscal measures introduced so far are expected to raise ​GDP by 1% by the end ​of ⁠2027, according to the source.

For 2028, the government expects growth of 0.6%.

The public sector will remain a driver ⁠of ​growth, although to a lesser ​extent than in previous years, the source said about 2028.

Reporting by ​Holger Hansen, writing by Maria Martinez Editing by Ludwig Burger

Source: Reuters


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