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German Inflation to Stay High, Growth has Slowed, Bundesbank

FRANKFURT, Sept 21 (Reuters) - Inflation in Germany is set to remain elevated for some time due to higher energy costs linked to ​the Iran conflict and healthcare reforms due next year, ‌the Bundesbank said on Monday.

In its monthly report, the German central bank also said Europe's largest economy had lost momentum over the summer, weighed ​down by weaker exports, consumption and droughts, but should ​recover in the remainder of the year.

High living costs ⁠and a weak economy have become increasingly important political issues, fuelling ​voter dissatisfaction with mainstream parties.

The Bundesbank said inflation, which stood ​at 2.9% in August, would "remain elevated for the time being", citing high prices for fuel and other refined oil products, low gas inventories and the ​risk that higher energy costs spread to other parts of ​the economy.

In addition, healthcare reforms due to take effect at the start ‌of ⁠2027, together with changes to pharmacy supply rules introduced this year, are expected to lift inflation by nearly half a percentage point temporarily in the first half of next year.

On the activity ​front, the German ​central bank ⁠said the economy would have only grown slightly in the current quarter.

But it continued to expect ​a recovery in the last three months of ​the ⁠year as business surveys pointed to a brighter outlook for manufacturing, fiscal support helped activity and infrastructure spending continued to underpin construction.

"However, ⁠this ​will also depend on how the conflict ​in the Middle East develops and how quickly water levels in important waterways ​normalise," the Bundesbank said.

Reporting by Francesco Canepa, Editing by Louise Heavens

Source: Reuters


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