Economic news

Gold Eases on Higher Oil Prices ahead of Fed Decision

  • Fed interest rate decision due at 1800 GMT
  • US PCE data due on Thursday
  • Analysts cut 2026 gold price forecast for second straight quarter

Oct 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday, as inflation worries ‌simmered over high oil prices and investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision later in the day.

Spot gold eased 0.1% to $4,055.59 per ounce by 0854 GMT, after gaining about 1% in ​the previous session.

US gold futures for December delivery dropped 0.1% to $4,070.20 ​per ounce.

Oil prices rose by more than $2 after an attack on a ⁠refinery in Saudi Arabia renewed concerns about supply risks.

"The rise in oil prices ​and the risk that it results in the Fed taking a more hawkish stance ​than market participants expect appears to be weighing on gold prices," said Hamad Hussain, climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics.

Elevated energy prices bolster expectations of higher-for-longer interest rates, increasing the ​opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

The Fed is widely expected to leave its ​benchmark interest rate unchanged when it announces its decision at 1800 GMT. Traders are pricing ‌in an ⁠84% probability of a hike in December, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, opens new tab.

Investors also await US Personal Consumption Expenditures data, due on Thursday, a gauge the Fed watches closely as it targets 2% inflation.

"Should PCE come in soft and the Fed fall ​short of hawkish expectations, ​bullion could push ⁠higher," Nikos Tzabouras, an independent financial markets analyst, said.

Analysts cut their 2026 gold price forecast for a second straight quarter ​due to high Treasury yields, a strong US dollar and ​expectations that ⁠rates will stay higher for longer, but still expect a recovery in 2027, a Reuters survey showed.

Additionally, analysts and traders cut their platinum and palladium price forecasts for 2026 ⁠for ​a third straight quarter, a Reuters survey showed.

Among other ​metals, spot silver slid 0.6% to $54.04, platinum lost 0.1% to $1,538.50, and palladium ticked up 0.2% to $1,027.80 per ​ounce.

Reporting by Sherin Sans in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair

Source: Reuters


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