Economic news

Gold Falls as Inflation Fears Pressure Fed Rate-Cut Outlook

  • Oil holds above $100 as Middle East conflict enters third week
  • Trump talking to seven nations about securing Strait of Hormuz
  • Fed expected to hold rates steady in policy meeting ​this week

March 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices dipped on Monday, ‌pressured by concerns that surging oil costs could stoke inflation further and prompt a more hawkish policy stance by major central banks including the U.S. Federal Reserve, dulling the appeal of the non-yielding asset.

Spot ​gold fell 0.7% to $4,983.17 per ounce, as of 0944 GMT. U.S. gold ​futures for April delivery fell 1.5% to $4,987.30.

"The gold market has moved ⁠its focus from looking at the implications of the Hormuz trade closure, and towards ​implications of longer-term inflation," said Bernard Dahdah, an analyst at Natixis.

"Higher oil prices mean higher inflation ​and this has repercussions on the Fed. The Fed could pivot, stop cutting rates and that puts downward pressure on gold prices."

Oil held above $100 a barrel, up more than 40% this month ​to its highest levels since 2022, after U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran prompted Tehran to ​halt shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday pressed allies to help secure ‌the ⁠Strait of Hormuz as Iranian forces continue attacks on the vital waterway amid the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, now in its third week.

The Fed will meet this week for a two-day policy meeting, where it is widely expected to hold interest rates ​steady.

Other central banks including ​the European Central ⁠Bank, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also meet this week, with the focus on policymakers' assessment ​of the Iran war on inflation, growth and future policies.

"But we expect ​central banks ⁠to be watchful of inflation risks without making knee-jerk policy rate hikes," UBS said in a note.

"In addition, the longer the U.S.-Iran conflict goes on, the higher the risk ⁠of ​negative economic impacts, which should support hedging demand for ​gold."

Elsewhere, spot silver fell 2.6% to $78.46 per ounce. Spot platinum held steady at $2,024.85 and palladium slid 0.5% to $1,542.92.

Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Swati Verma

Source: Reuters


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