Economic news

Gold Falls as Mideast Conflict Dims Easing Inflation Hopes

  • US and Iran exchange fresh strikes
  • US producer prices post largest drop in 14 months
  • Investors await remarks from Fed policymakers

July 16 (Reuters) - Gold ​fell on Thursday as an escalating Middle East conflict fuelled concerns that ‌the U.S. Federal Reserve could hike interest rates this year, overshadowing recent optimism over easing inflation.

Spot gold was down 0.9% at $4,024.60 per ounce by 0729 GMT. U.S. gold futures for August delivery ​lost 0.6% to $4,029.50.

"June's inflation figures did not reflect the impact of the ​latest escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict, as the interim peace union ⁠reached last month has effectively unravelled," said Jigar Trivedi, a senior research analyst at ​IndusInd Securities.

The U.S. launched two waves of attacks on Iran's coastal defences and missile sites ​on Wednesday after reimposing a naval blockade of its ports, while Iran struck back by targeting U.S. military sites in neighbouring countries in what it called an "existential war" with America.

Oil prices have risen ​11% so far this week, stoking concerns about inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates. ​While gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge, it loses its appeal in a high interest ‌rate ⁠environment.

U.S. consumer and producer inflation slowed in June, amid a pullback in the cost of energy products, reinforcing evidence that inflation was subsiding before the recent escalation in the Middle East conflict.

The moderation in inflation was, however, not enough to convince financial markets to rule out ​a Fed rate hike ​this year.

Traders are ⁠still pricing in bout a 73% chance of a December Fed hike, CME FedWatch Tool's data showed. FEDWATCH/

Fed Governor Lisa Cook said on ​Wednesday she is "prepared to act" if inflation does not soon begin ​to slow. ⁠Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh also declared his determination to bring inflation down without hinting at how.

Investors are now looking out for remarks from Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Fed ⁠Vice ​Chair Philip Jefferson, due to speak later in the ​day.

Elsewhere, spot silver fell 1.7% to $56.78 per ounce. Platinum eased 1.3% to $1,652.50 and palladium lost 1.4% to $1,296.29.

Reporting ​by Pablo Sinha and Swati Verma in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Rashmi Aich

Source: Reuters


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