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Gold Gains on Softer Dollar as US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes Rise

  • US optimistic about deal with Iran
  • Dollar, US Treasury yields ease
  • Traders see 29% chance of US rate cut in December

April 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices ​rose on Thursday, supported by a softer U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields, ‌as investors grew optimistic about a potential end to the Middle East war, which has stoked fears of higher inflation.

Spot gold rose 0.7% to $4,821.96 per ounce by 0723 GMT. U.S. gold futures for June ​delivery gained 0.4% to $4,843.40.

The U.S. dollar hovered around its lowest level in six ​weeks, making greenback-denominated commodities, including bullion, more affordable for holders of other ⁠currencies.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields fell 0.1% as hopes of a U.S.-Iran peace deal ​eased bets for higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates.

"The primary driver (for gold) is the optimism about a ​U.S.-Iran ceasefire that is pushing down longer-term bond yields globally and that kind of created a lower opportunity cost of holding gold and silver," said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst at OANDA.

"If we ​start to see a break above $4,900, further potential upside cannot be ruled out towards the ​next intermediate resistance zone, which is at the psychological level of $5,000."

Optimism grew that the war may be ‌near ⁠an end, with a key Pakistani mediator in Tehran and the Trump administration talking up hopes for a deal that would open the crucial Strait of Hormuz.

On the other hand, Israel's cabinet met on Wednesday to discuss a possible ceasefire in neighbouring Lebanon, a senior Israeli ​official said, more than ​six weeks into ⁠its war with Iran-backed Hezbollah.

Spot gold prices have fallen more than 8% since the Iran war began in late February amid concerns ​that elevated energy prices could feed into inflation and keep global ​interest rates higher.

While ⁠gold is considered a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates weigh on the non-yielding metal's demand.

In the U.S., traders now see a 29% chance of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut this ⁠year. ​Before the war, there were expectations of two reductions ​for this year. FEDWATCH

Among other metals, spot silver rose 1.4% to $80.12 per ounce, platinum gained 1% to $2,130.25, and palladium was ​up 0.9% at $1,587.25.

Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Harikrishnan Nair

Source: Reuters


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