Economic news

Gold Heads for 1st Weekly Rise in 5 on Easing Rate-Hike Bets

  • Nonfarm payrolls increase 57,000 in June, miss expectations
  • Traders see 54% chance of September rate hike, down from 66%
  • All precious metals head for ​weekly gains

July 3 (Reuters) - Gold rose more than 1% on Friday and ‌was set for its first weekly gain in five, as investors dialled back expectations for U.S. rate hikes following softer-than-expected jobs data.

Spot gold was up 1.4% at $4,179.42 per ounce, as of 0744 GMT, ​after earlier hitting its highest level since June 23. U.S. gold futures for ​August delivery gained 1.6% to $4,191.90.

Bullion was on track for a weekly gain ⁠of 2.2%, its first since the week ended May 29, as weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls and private ​payrolls data tempered concerns around inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates.

The dollar was headed for ​a weekly drop, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies.

"What we're seeing is a reduction in the pricing of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes for the rest of this year, ​as well as Q1 next year, and that has been primarily driven by ​a rather lacklustre labour market data yesterday," said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst at OANDA.

Nonfarm payrolls increased ‌by ⁠57,000 jobs last month, sharply lower than the 110,000 expected by economists in a Reuters poll.

Traders are now pricing in roughly a 54% chance of a rate hike in September, down from 66% before the data, according to the CME FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH/

Higher ​interest rates typically weigh ​on non-yielding gold, ⁠as they make interest-bearing assets more attractive.

Rate-hike expectations have not fully disappeared, said Wong, adding that gold could still face pressure later ​this year, with prices potentially falling towards $3,500 an ounce.

Meanwhile, the ​World Gold ⁠Council said central banks were back in buying mode in May and, based on the latest reported data, official gold reserves increased by a net 41 tons during the month.

Spot ⁠silver ​rose 2.9% to $62.80 per ounce, platinum gained 2.8% to $1,661.61, and palladium ​climbed 1.1% to $1,281.42. All three metals were near their highest levels in more than a week and headed ​for weekly gains.

Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich and Subhranshu Sahu

Source: Reuters


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