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Gold Heads for Weekly Drop on Strong Dollar, High Yields

  • US job growth slows sharply in September
  • Traders trim bets on Fed rate hikes after jobs data
  • All precious metals head for weekly losses

Oct 2 (Reuters) - Gold prices ​fell on Friday, reversing earlier gains, as a stronger dollar and elevated US ‌Treasury yields weighed on the non-yielding metal, leaving it on track for a weekly decline.

Spot gold fell 0.8% to $4,145.68 per ounce by 11:38 a.m. EDT (1538 GMT), and was down about 3.3% for the week so far. US ​gold futures were down 0.7% at $4,173.50.

The US dollar edged lower, but was headed for ​a weekly gain, while yields on 10- and 30-year Treasuries hit their ⁠highest levels since 2002 on Thursday.

Bullion fell after gaining over 1% earlier in the session ​after data showed US job growth slowed more than expected in September.

US non-farm payrolls rose by ​29,000 last month after a downwardly revised increase of 133,000 in August, the Labor Department's closely watched employment report showed on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls advancing 90,000 after a previously reported 162,000 surge ​in August.

"Gold bugs are perhaps refusing to get carried away for the time being, knowing ​that the Fed retains a hawkish bias," said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit.

"In the months ahead, ‌much of ⁠gold's trajectory will depend on how much the Fed is willing to tolerate potential labor market weakness, with its eyes firmly set on subduing US inflation."

Bullion has fallen over 20% since the US-Israeli war with Iran began in late February, pressured by expectations that conflict-driven inflation ​could keep interest rates ​higher for longer.

The latest ⁠softer-than-expected inflation data, along with opposition from at least two top policymakers to another rate hike in October, have strengthened investor bets that the US Federal ​Reserve will keep rates on hold later this month.

Traders currently see ​about a 22% ⁠chance of a US rate hike this month, compared to around 70% earlier in the week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

"The charts still look fairly grim and (gold) could push lower still if ⁠the ​rate cycle resumes its ascent," Marex analyst Edward Meir said.

Spot ​silver fell 1.1% to $60.17, platinum retreated 1.9% to $1,692 and palladium declined 0.4% to $1,166.25. All three metals were poised for weekly ​losses.

Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Diti Pujara and Jonathan Ananda

Source: Reuters


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