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Gold Heads for Weekly Loss on Fading Middle East Peace Hopes

  • Hezbollah leader rejects Lebanon ceasefire deal
  • Precious metals on track for weekly loss
  • US nonfarm payrolls data due at 1230 GMT
  • Gold demand in India subdued amid volatile prices

June 5 (Reuters) - Gold edged lower on Friday, and was headed for a weekly ‌loss, as fading hopes of a swift resolution to the Middle East conflict fuelled fears of higher inflation and elevated interest rates.

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $4,463.73 per ounce at 0849 GMT. The metal has fallen about ​1.6% so far this week.

U.S. gold futures for August delivery fell 0.3% to $4,491.

The Iran-backed ​Hezbollah militia rejected a new ceasefire in Lebanon and Israel said it would ⁠not withdraw troops from the country, undermining U.S. President Donald Trump's efforts to halt fighting ​there to forge peace with Tehran.

"When the Iran-U.S. negotiations don't seem to be going in the ​right direction, it tends to drive up oil prices. That triggers inflation fears and increases the likelihood that interest rates will remain relatively high, pressuring gold," said Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at WisdomTree.

Brent crude oil prices have ​risen 2.8% so far this week as the key Strait of Hormuz remains largely shut. ​Bullion has fallen about 16% since the Iran conflict began in late February as oil prices rose, stoking ‌fears of ⁠inflation and higher interest rates.

While gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, higher rates tend to weigh on the non-yielding metal.

Markets are currently pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike before year-end, with a 37% chance of a 25 basis point hike in December, according to ​CME Group's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Investors ​now await May U.S. ⁠nonfarm payrolls data, due later in the day, to gauge the Fed's monetary policy path.

"The main driver of the weaker gold price is lackluster ​investment demand – and that is influenced by the U.S. economy still ​expanding at a ⁠solid pace, while inflation is trending higher. The payroll data will be an important input factor for the Fed," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Meanwhile, gold demand was subdued in India this week as ⁠buyers ​stayed on the sidelines due to volatile overseas prices, while ​premiums in China eased.

Spot silver fell 1.7% to $72.58 per ounce, platinum dropped 1.2% to $1,877.82, and palladium slid 1.5% to $1,300.90. They ​were all headed for a weekly loss.

Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru. Editing by Mark Potter

Source: Reuters


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