Economic news

Gold Slips but on Track to Snap Four-Month Losing Streak

  • Platinum, palladium eye monthly gains
  • Dollar bounces back after over 2% drop on Thursday
  • Egypt says unidentified drone hit vessels in port

July 31 (Reuters) - Gold fell on ​Friday but was on course for its first monthly gain in five months, ‌supported by bargain buying around the $4,000 level, while investors weighed developments in the Middle East and their impact on U.S. rate outlook.

Spot gold fell 0.7% to $4,075.35 per ounce, as of 0703 GMT, but was headed for ​a weekly rise of 0.5%. Prices were up about 1.7% this month.

U.S. gold ​futures for August delivery lost 0.6% to $4,074.

"Gold is showing a mild negative bias ⁠today amid profit-taking and a moderate bounce in the U.S. dollar, following the metal's gains ​yesterday and the corresponding fall in the greenback," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM ​Trade.

The dollar gained about 0.3%, after diving 2.4% in its biggest single-day drop since January 2023 on Thursday. A stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for overseas buyers.

However, "gold has had a better run of ​things this month. A key support has been the metal finding a cushion of sorts ​around the $4,000 level, which has attracted buyers on dips," Waterer said.

On Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates unchanged at ‌its ⁠policy meeting, and Chair Kevin Warsh gave little indication on the central bank's next policy move.

Markets are now pricing in a 65% chance of a rate hike in September, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

While gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates ​can dampen its appeal ​by raising the opportunity ⁠cost of holding the non-yielding asset.

In the Middle East, a drone strike that sparked fires on two gas vessels in Egypt's Mediterranean port of ​Damietta has raised a new threat to shipping through the Suez Canal, ​one of ⁠the last major export routes available to Saudi oil amid the expanding U.S.-Iran war.

"Over the long run, the Hormuz crisis will fade but geopolitical multipolarity, hypo-globalization, and U.S. fiscal imbalances will support ⁠gold as ​a hedge against U.S. assets," analysts at BCA Research ​said in a note.

Spot silver fell 1.5% to $58.12 per ounce.

Platinum slid 1.5% to $1,635.10, and palladium fell 0.6% to $1,297.13, but both ​metals were headed for a monthly gain.

Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala

Source: Reuters


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