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Gold Ticks Higher as Markets Brace for Fed Decision

  • Fed interest rate decision due at 1800 GMT
  • Traders price in 36% chance of a rate hike - CME FedWatch
  • Tehran rules out Oman's proposal

July 29 (Reuters) - Gold ​prices edged up on Wednesday, supported by some technical buying, as investors ‌hunkered down ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later in the day.

Spot gold rose 0.1% to $4,032.59 per ounce by 1121 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for August delivery fell 0.2% ​to $4,031.90.

"Gold is holding up today on dip-buying around the psychological $4,000 level, prospects ​of a US-Iran diplomatic off-ramp and market expectations for a Fed ⁠hold," said Nikos Tzabouras, senior market analyst at Jefferies-owned Tradu.com.

The Fed's policy decision ​is due at 1800 GMT, with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's comments scheduled for 1830 ​GMT.

About 36% of market participants are pricing in a 25-basis-point hike, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH

"Today's announcement and press conference could spark significant volatility. Any hawkish signals would open the door ​to new 2026 lows, currently sitting at $3,941, while any dovish tilt would give bullion ​the opportunity to extend its rebound beyond $4,100," said Tzabouras.

Traders are expecting an 80% chance of an ‌increase ⁠at the central bank's September meeting.

While gold is typically seen as an inflation hedge, bullion tends to suffer in a high-interest-rate environment due to its non-yielding nature.

Meanwhile, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are widely expected to keep rates unchanged this ​week, and to ​caution against rising ⁠inflation.

Commerzbank on Tuesday lowered its year-end gold price forecast to $4,500 per troy ounce and said it expects silver to reach $67 per troy ​ounce by the end of the year.

On the geopolitical front, Tehran ruled ​out Oman's ⁠proposal for regional joint management of the Strait of Hormuz, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on Wednesday, dimming hopes for a resolution.

Oil prices were up nearly $3 a barrel ⁠on Wednesday ​after joint strikes in Iraq by the United ​States and Saudi Arabia.

Elsewhere, spot silver climbed 0.9% to $57.63 per ounce, platinum dropped 1.1% to $1,586.84, and palladium dipped ​1.3% to $1,253.18.

Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Louise Heavens and Harikrishnan Nair

Source: Reuters


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