Economic news

India May WPI Hits 9.68% on Mideast War Fuel Surge

  • Wholesale fuel and power prices up 30.33% in May vs 24.89% in Apr
  • Wholesale food inflation rises 3.60%, manufactured goods up 7.48%
  • Mineral oils, crude and gas, chemicals, metals led WPI in Apr–May

June 15 (Reuters) - India's wholesale price inflation rose to 9.68% year-on-year in May, government ‌data released on Monday showed, as the energy shock stemming from the conflict in the Middle East persisted.

Wholesale inflation, which has a higher weightage of fuel products, is running sharply higher than India's retail inflation, which was at 3.93% in May. ​However, the sharp surge in wholesale prices is not seen impacting interest rates in the economy ​immediately, according to economists.

The Indian central bank, which targets 4% retail inflation within a ⁠tolerance band of 2% to 6%, kept rates unchanged at its meeting in June, signalling it will watch ​for any second-round impact of higher fuel prices before tightening monetary policy.

Economists polled by Reuters had projected ​wholesale inflation rising to 9.05%. The print stood at 8.26% in April.

The data, the first print from the revised series with a base year of 2022-23, showed inflation rose at the fastest pace in six months under comparable numbers calculated ​by the government under the new series.

Wholesale fuel and power prices jumped 30.33% year-on-year in May, ​against a rise of 24.89% in April, data showed. Petroleum and natural gas prices rose 61.51% in May.

Crude prices have ‌risen ⁠27% since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran broke out in late February, prompting state-run oil marketing companies to raise retail fuel prices four times in May.

There could be some relief expected, however, as the U.S. and Iran have agreed on a framework to end their war, halt the U.S. blockade of Iran and reopen the ​Strait of Hormuz, a ​preliminary pact that sent ⁠global oil prices falling.

"The recent cooling in global energy and commodity prices after the easing of tensions in the West Asia is expected to provide respite ​to the WPI inflation print for June 2026," Rahul Agrawal, principal economist at ​rating agency ⁠ICRA said.

Wholesale food prices rose 3.60% year-on-year in May after advancing 2.43% in April, while prices of manufactured products advanced 7.48% against April's 6.68% rise.

NEW INDEXES RELEASED

The May release also debuts the new producer price indicators, ⁠including an ​output PPI, a trial input PPI and a services PPI ​covering seven sectors — banking, securities transactions, pension fund management, insurance, railways, air passenger transport and telecommunications.

The producer prices in May rose ​9.38%, according to Reuters' calculation.

Reporting by Shubham Batra and Shivangi Acharya in New Delhi; Editing by Janane Venkatraman

Source: Reuters


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