Economic news

INR Falls most in 2 wks, Oil Spikes on US Move to Blockade Iran Ports

MUMBAI, April 13 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee endured its steepest fall in two weeks on Monday, as oil prices climbed past $100 per barrel, ​while supportive dollar flows for the currency, spurred by banks' unwinding ‌of arbitrage positions, dissipated.

The rupee closed at 93.3750 per U.S. dollar, down 0.7% on the day, its sharpest decline since March 27, the day on which the central bank rolled out ​measures to curb excessive rupee volatility.

An unwinding of positions following the measures ​gave the rupee some breathing room heading into the April 10 ⁠deadline for banks to lower their net open rupee positions.

With that out of ​the way, traders reckon that the local currency will be driven by how oil ​prices move and how foreign portfolio flows into Indian assets shape up.

On Monday, Brent crude futures rose nearly 8% to $102.8 per barrel as the U.S. moved to impose a blockade on Iranian shipping ​after the collapse of weekend peace talks.

Regional stocks took a leg lower while ​bond yields rose as investors' relief over a ceasefire proved fleeting as they returned to fretting ‌over ⁠the risks of a protracted conflict.

Over the month so far, overseas investors have net sold more than $6.5 billion worth of local stock and bonds, adding to March's $13.6 billion outflow.

Oil prices have climbed over 40% since the war began, pushing India's Nifty ​50 down by ​5% and lifting ⁠the 10-year bond yield by about 30 bps.

"The focus now shifts to whether the naval blockade encourages another round of negotiations, ​whether the Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen try to block the ​southern end ⁠of the Red Sea and what the likes of China make of interference in their oil imports," ING said in a note.

India's financial markets will be shut on ⁠Tuesday for ​a local holiday.

Reporting by ​Jaspreet Kalra and Nimesh Vora; Editing by Sumana Nandy, Sonia Cheema and Harikrishnan Nair

Source: Reuters


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