SINGAPORE, March 25 (Reuters) - The dollar was on the front foot on Monday and kept the yen pinned near a multi-decade low, though the threat of currency intervention from Japanese authorities prevented the greenback from heading further north.
The yen was slightly higher on the day and last stood at 151.24 per dollar , having bottomed at a four-month trough of 151.86 last week that left it within striking distance of a 32-year low near 152 per dollar hit in 2022.
Japan's top currency diplomat said on Monday the yen's current weakness did not reflect fundamentals, adding to the rhetoric of government officials who have stepped up warnings in recent days over the currency's decline.
The moves have come in the wake of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) landmark interest rate hike at its March policy meeting, as the decision had been well telegraphed. Crucially, traders also reckoned rates in Japan will continue to remain low for some time yet and therefore maintain the stark rate differentials with the United States.
"Japanese officials' verbal intervention is making 152 a very strong near-term resistance for dollar/yen," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
"Markets are fully aware of a potential actual FX intervention from authorities, so I think that's keeping dollar/yen from moving substantially higher.
"I think there is still a high risk that they will come in to prop up the yen if dollar/yen were to surge materially perhaps to 155. That's still seen as a line in the sand."
A shift in the global rate outlook following a flurry of central bank meetings has breathed new life into the dollar, on expectations the Federal Reserve is in no rush to ease rates as compared to its peers.
Bets for a June rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) have risen substantially after the Swiss National Bank became the first major central bank to do so last week.
That has kept pressure on their respective currencies, with the euro last at $1.0817, languishing near a three-week low.
Sterling rose 0.08% to $1.26115, having slid more than 1% last week following dovish signals from the BoE. The Financial Times reported on Friday that Governor Andrew Bailey said rate cuts "were in play" this year.
"The BoE and ECB have galvanised expectations they will also go in June, with the BoE meeting in May even showing signs it could be a live meeting," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.
In comparison, while market expectations are also for a Fed easing cycle to begin in June, a run of resilient U.S. economic data has raised doubts the central bank is indeed on course for three rate cuts this year.
The dollar index was last steady at 104.34, having clocked a weekly gain of nearly 1% last week.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar rose 0.1% to $0.6521, while the New Zealand dollar eased marginally to $0.5993, after bottoming at a four-month low earlier in the session.
The two have drawn some support from a rebound in the yuan, given both are often used as liquid proxies for the Chinese currency.
The yuan rebounded sharply on Monday thanks to suspected selling of dollars by state-owned banks and a strong official guidance set by China's central bank, reversing its sudden fall at the end of last week.
The Chinese currency has been pressured by growing market expectations of further monetary easing to prop up the world's second-largest economy.
In the onshore market, the yuan was roughly 0.3% higher at 7.2083 per dollar, while its offshore counterpart rose more than 0.3% to 7.2492 per dollar.
Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Jamie Freed
Source: Reuters